This round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict has killed 44,758 people in the Gaza. According to a statement issued by the health department in Gaza on December 10th, local time, since the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out on October 7th last year, Israeli military operations in Gaza have killed 44,758 Palestinians and injured 106,134 others.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Noon announcement: Huatong convertible bonds will soon stop converting shares; Platinum New Materials Thailand Base has obtained the project record. ① Huatong shares: after the market closes on December 10, the "Huatong convertible bonds" that have not been converted will stop converting shares; At present, there is only the last half trading day left before the "Huatong Convertible Bonds" stops converting shares, that is, the trading time on the afternoon of December 10th. The company specially reminded the holders of "Huatong Convertible Bonds" to complete the share conversion within the time limit. The "Huatong Convertible Bonds" that have not been converted after the closing of the market on December 10 will be forcibly redeemed at the price of 101.21 yuan/piece. ② Platinum New Materials: Recently, the company has completed the relevant filing and registration of production base projects in Thailand, and has successively received the Certificate of Overseas Investment of Enterprises issued by Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Commerce and the Notice of Filing Overseas Investment Projects issued by Shenzhen Development and Reform Commission. ③ Baiao Intelligent: The company originally planned to absorb and merge its wholly-owned subsidiaries Kunshan Baisente Materials and Materials Co., Ltd. ("Baisente") and Kunshan Baiao Smart Logistics Co., Ltd. ("Smart Logistics"). Considering the company's actual operation and business development plan, the company plans to cancel the absorption and merger of Besant and Smart Logistics.
Reserve Bank of Australia: Considering the recent data, the Committee's assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive and is working as expected. In the November forecast, the degree of relief of wage pressure exceeded expectations.A residential land in Yiwu, Zhejiang Province was sold in 53 rounds of bidding, with a premium rate of 23.42%. On December 10th, Yiwu City, Zhejiang Province welcomed another residential land for sale, which was named as Qintang Hub Station Plot I, located in Choucheng Street, with a land area of 63,440.94 square meters and a plot ratio of 1.01 million yuan, equivalent to the initial price of 1,152.72 million yuan.Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.
Goldman Sachs: It is expected that the output of OPEC+will still depend on the data, and it is assumed that the output of OPEC+will increase for four consecutive months from next July under the strong demand in summer. It is estimated that India's oil demand will increase by 300,000 barrels per day next year, accounting for nearly 30% of the global oil demand growth.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13